July 11th, 2019

July 2019 Estimated 189 invitation date

Here are Iscah’s latest estimates of how long we think you will have to wait for a 189 invitation from TODAY – 11th July 2019. Depending on when you lodged your EOI, what the effect date is and the occupation.

These may not turn out to be DHA settings, we are just trying to give a rough estimate in this age of uncertainty. If their policies change .. WE WILL CHANGE OUR ESTIMATES ACCORDINGLY

– Our main assumptions are based onThat DHA will invite an amount equal to the number of 189 visas they intend to grant
– 18,652 for the 2019/2020 year as published, less around 2000 for NZ citizens
– 2.0 applicants on average per application means around 9,362 primary invites (777 a month)
– Allowing for 30% wasted invitations = 1110 per month. Split 60% pro rata, 40% non pro rata

We will continue with the 1110 per month as that looks roughly the same as what DHA invited in July 2019
Our estimates do not yet take account of the new points test starting 16/11/2019 that gives extra Partner and STEM points. We need more information from DHA before we can incorporate these. In general though most invite marks will rise 5 points.

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if you want a personal estimate on your EOI –
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These estimates are heavily influenced by the number of invitations that DHA issue each round, the limitations against some of the pro rata occupations, and a number of other factors listed here – https://www.iscah.com/use-189-eoi-predictions/